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‘RED
FLAGS’ – What To Look Out For In Company Corporate
Filings by Analyst Doug Rogers |
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Editors
Note:
Before we bring you the first part of the free, three-part series
by Doug Rogers on Corporate Filings, Stockupticks has come
across a company that we’re considering for a full profile that
might be of interest to some of you early birds. Clean air requirements
have turned the auto emissions business into an enormous market
and Environmental Solutions Worldwide, Inc. (OTCBB: ESWW)
is a research and development company that develops, manufactures,
and markets environmental technologies and products. The Company's
products include catalytic converters and spark plug injector
technology, both of which result in lower emissions, and ESWW
has done extensive research and development in cleaning up diesel
fuel emissions. ESWW has several products that are currently
making their way through the industry supply chain so keep watching
Stockupticks for a more in-depth report!
As part of our ongoing efforts to keep our readers on top of
the ever-changing investment business, Stockupticks is
once again excited to being you financial insight from analyst
Doug Rogers of ManageSource Research. Doug has previously
written exclusive articles for our readers on the composition
and operation of NASDAQ and on the typical small-cap company and
its place in the market.
Today, he covers a crucial topic for investors by providing
insight into public company corporate filings. What they are,
how investors can identify trouble spots on a corporate balance
sheet and how to interpret content that can often be confusing
or contradictory. In light of the recent controversy surrounding
reporting methods and the very complicated use of language that
came under congressional scrutiny in the Enron/Arthur Anderson
hearings, this review by Doug couldn’t have come at a better time.
Please read on, we think you’ll be enlightened and refreshed
to learn there is a way to decipher the ‘numbers-talk’ and ‘jargon’
often used by accountants and financial officers in corporate
filings.
Corporate Filings ….
Finding The Red Flags
by Doug Rogers
Clients and investors alike are constantly asking us what to
look for in a company’s financial results and corporate filings.
In the broad wake of the Enron debacle, and now with similar allegations
in the Telecom industry, I thought I would take some time to identify
what we look for in a company’s financial statements and what
questions we consider when analyzing a company’s data. This,
however, is only the beginning of the research analyst’s job.
Once we have a firm grasp of the current and historic financial
condition of the company, it becomes our job to develop, with
a fair degree of accuracy, what the future potential revenue and
costs of a given company may be over the next three to five years.
We then consider their position in their particular market space
and produce price targets and recommendations based on our findings.
In this article, the first in a series of three, I’d like to provide
the reader with some practical means of identifying some potential
shortcomings in a company’s corporate filings with the hope that
you may be able to avoid purchasing shares in companies like Enron
in the first place!
The Balance Sheet. The snapshot of a company’s financial
condition! There’s a wealth of information contained here
that may not be completely obvious to the casual observer.
I’m primarily looking for assets, liquidity, short and long term
debt and how the company derives the components of each.
If anything seems out of the ordinary, it probably is. The
balance sheet also sets the tone for me with respect to how closely
I scrutinize the Statement of Operations and the Statement of
Cash flows. If there are items that concern me on the balance
sheet, or items that clearly indicate a desire to “massage” the
results, then it’s usually a pretty safe bet that I’ll find the
same kind of issues in the other statements, as well.
The first, and most obvious, items that I scan for are extraordinary
items. I categorize these as abnormally large items (financially
speaking), non-standard items and incomplete items. For
example, it has become very common in recent years to assign exceptionally
high values on Intellectual Property, “good will” and other intangible
assets as a means of “boosting” the assets contained on the balance
sheet. Frankly, these are, in most cases, baseless values
and have been derived to compensate for deficiencies found elsewhere.
The “management’s discussion” on financial results will provide
some visibility into the accounting for these items; so don’t
dismiss an extraordinary item until reviewing management’s comments.
In most cases, however, a company might list $ 50 million in intellectual
property rights for software that they purchased, for example.
Investors should scrutinize these items for validity. Generally,
the fair market value for such an item is a mere fraction of what
is indicated on the balance sheet. But it enables the company
to balance out significant liabilities and improve liquidity and
shareholder’s equity results. Basically, limited assets
combined with substantial liabilities, demonstrates a highly leveraged
situation where the company has had to borrow significantly to
fund operations, but probably won’t have the assets to service
their debt. Extraordinary items are relatively obvious red
flags, but there are other issues to watch out for on a balance
sheet.
Analysts utilize “current” and “quick” liquidity ratios as a
means of comparing a company’s short-term assets and liabilities.
These numbers demonstrate a company’s ability to meet its current
obligations and provide capital for operational expansion.
The current ratio is merely current assets divided by current
liabilities, while the quick ratio removes any inventory from
current assets. The rule of thumb results for these are
1.0 and 2.0 respectively. In other words, a current ratio
below 1.0 is considered to be illiquid and conversely, a current
ration above 1.0, liquid. If there are any non-standard
or extraordinary items, I’ll usually run the calculations with
and without these items to see the overall effect on the ratio
results.
The liabilities section gives me insight into how significantly
the company is leveraged with debt and the means by which they’ve
financed their operations to date. I look for credit lines,
notes and other such debt instruments. Debts owed to institutions
normally have stricter service requirements while notes to individuals
are quite often converted to equity or refinanced by some other
means.
Debt and liquidity are critical to a company’s ability to effectively
maintain operations and increase shareholder value from period
to period. I look closely at the items listed as both short-
and long-term liabilities. Debt will drain corporate cash
and stifle earnings growth. Every company has a certain
amount of debt, of course, but the question that needs to be answered
is whether a company’s debt burden outstrips corporate profits.
Short-term items (12 months or less) are the most critical because
they require immediate servicing and have the greatest potential
for default by the company. I’m looking for a reasonable
amount of debt in both short and long terms that demonstrates
management’s ability to utilize debt when necessary, but not as
an operational lifeline.
Shareholder equity is, simply, the difference between the company’s
total assets and total liabilities. It represents the amount
of excess equity available to shareholders. It can be both
positive and negative, but negative shareholder equity indicates
an overly leveraged company. Thus, I want to ensure that
the company is moving towards positive equity and not increasing
the negative value that could indicate operational costs that
far exceed revenue potential, thus necessitating further leveraging
to support operations.
The last item that I would like to point out is paid-in-capital,
or the capital infused through equity sales. Unfortunately,
this is very subjective to the type of company you’re analyzing,
the company’s level of maturity and other issues particular to
each subject. Therefore, it is difficult to provide any
rules to go by, but if, for example, paid-in-capital seems excessive
for a certain size company, it probably is and could indicate
that the company requires more capital to operate than it has
potential to generate revenue. However, companies that require
significant development or research dollars will often require
significant paid-in-capital.
I hope that I have provided some general guidelines for analyzing
a company’s balance sheet for possible red and green flags.
Like anything else, this is by no means a comprehensive guide,
nor can the balance sheet alone provide a complete picture of
a company’s financial health. The balance sheet must be
considered as a whole as much as it is an amalgamation of critical
parts.
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Next time,
Doug will take a look at the Statement of Operations
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